TD Cowen Rates MicroStrategy Preferred Shares as ‘Buy’

Strategy (MSTR) is raising capital via preferred shares (STRF, STRK, STRD) to accumulate more Bitcoin. TD Cowen gives "buy" ratings, noting the shares offer steady income. Strategy aims to raise $84B by 2027. Currently holding ~600,000 BTC, they could own over 850,000 BTC by 2027.

It’s a bit like watching someone build a really sturdy treehouse, but instead of lumber and nails, they’re using preferred shares and a whole lot of digital gold. Strategy, the company that’s become quite the fixture in the bitcoin accumulation game, has been busy raising capital. They’re doing this by offering different kinds of preferred stock, and TD Cowen, a firm that keeps a close eye on these things, thinks it’s a rather smart move.

  • Strategy is raising capital by offering preferred stock, which TD Cowen views as a smart move.
  • The preferred shares offer a steady income stream and potential price appreciation.
  • Strategy’s “42/42” plan aims to raise $84 billion to acquire more bitcoin by 2027.

These aren’t your everyday stocks. Think of them as special shares that offer a steady income stream, like a reliable dividend, and a shot at price appreciation. TD Cowen’s analysts, led by Lance Vitanza, recently put their stamp of approval on three of Strategy’s preferred share offerings: STRF, STRK, and STRD. They’ve slapped “buy” ratings on them, along with price targets. It’s worth noting they already liked Strategy’s common shares, the ones often referred to as MSTR, giving those a $590 target.

So, what’s the big deal with these preferred shares? Well, for starters, they’re perpetual. That means they don’t have a set maturity date. As long as the company keeps running, these shares are set to deliver fixed dividend payments. It’s a bit like a perpetual motion machine for income, if you squint just right.

Let’s break down the specific types TD Cowen is talking about. There’s STRK, which is convertible. It comes with a fixed 8% dividend. Then there’s STRF, which isn’t convertible but offers a fixed 10% cumulative dividend. Cumulative means if the company misses a payment, it has to make it up later. Finally, STRD also offers a fixed 10% annual dividend, but it’s non-cumulative and non-convertible. It’s like choosing your preferred flavor of steady payout.

These preferred stock programs aren’t the only way Strategy is fueling its bitcoin habit. They also have what’s called the “42/42” plan. This ambitious initiative aims to raise a staggering $84 billion. The goal is to acquire more bitcoin through a mix of equity offerings and convertible notes, with a target date of 2027. It’s a long game, for sure.

TD Cowen crunched the numbers on the dividend payments. They looked at the total annual dividend burden across all three preferred share classes, which comes out to about $351.1 million. Then they compared that to the company’s surplus value, a hefty $53.8 billion. The takeaway? They figure there’s enough surplus to cover those dividends for a whopping 174 years. That’s a lot of dividend-paying runway.

Strategy’s bitcoin holdings are substantial. They currently own close to 600,000 BTC, which, at current prices, is worth around $64 billion. TD Cowen’s crystal ball suggests the company could be holding just over 850,000 BTC by the end of 2027. That would put them in possession of more than 4% of bitcoin’s total fixed supply. It’s a significant chunk of digital real estate.


Now, Strategy’s shares, particularly the common ones, often trade at a premium. TD Cowen notes this premium can be around 63% above the net asset value. They consider this markup reasonable, though. Why? Because every time they sell equity, it immediately translates into more bitcoin per share. It’s a bit of a self-reinforcing loop, turning equity sales directly into more digital assets.

At the time of this report, Strategy’s stock was trading up about 6%, hitting $394.95 per share. Year to date, the stock has climbed 31%, giving the company a market capitalization of $110 billion. It’s a testament to how much attention the market pays to companies that are making big bets on bitcoin.

A Different Kind of Bet

It’s easy to get caught up in the day-to-day price swings of bitcoin itself. We all know that can feel like riding a particularly energetic rollercoaster. But Strategy’s approach offers something a bit different for investors. Instead of directly buying bitcoin, which can be volatile, they’re offering these preferred shares as a way to gain exposure.

Think of it this way: If bitcoin is a racehorse, these preferred shares are like a well-placed bet on the stable that owns the horse. You still benefit from the horse’s performance, but perhaps with a bit less of the direct jolt from every gallop or stumble. TD Cowen’s analysis suggests these shares might offer less volatility than holding bitcoin or Strategy’s common stock directly. That’s a compelling proposition for many.

The fixed dividend payments are a key part of this. In a world where interest rates can be a bit unpredictable, a guaranteed payout, even if it’s a fixed percentage, can be quite attractive. It provides a level of certainty that’s often hard to come by in the crypto space. It’s like having a steady income stream while the main event, bitcoin’s price action, plays out.

The fact that these preferred shares are perpetual adds another layer of appeal. There’s no ticking clock that says, “Your income stops here.” As long as the company is operational, those dividends are expected to keep coming. It’s a long-term play, designed for those who believe in Strategy’s ongoing mission to accumulate bitcoin.

TD Cowen’s report highlights the financial stability supporting these payouts. The comparison of the dividend burden to the company’s surplus value paints a picture of a company that has built a substantial cushion. This suggests they’re well-equipped to weather potential downturns without immediately jeopardizing their dividend commitments. It’s a sign of prudent financial management, or at least, that’s what the analysts seem to think.

The structure of the different preferred shares also allows for some choice. Whether an investor wants the potential upside of convertibility with STRK, or the cumulative dividend security of STRF, or the straightforward fixed dividend of STRD, there’s an option. It’s like a menu of income-generating securities, all tied to the company’s bitcoin strategy.

The Bigger Picture: Strategy’s Bitcoin Ascent

Strategy’s commitment to bitcoin acquisition is one of the defining narratives in the public markets right now. Their “42/42” plan, aiming for $84 billion in capital raises by 2027, is a bold statement of intent. It signals a long-term conviction in bitcoin as a store of value and an asset for accumulation.

By issuing these preferred shares, Strategy is essentially creating new avenues to fund this ongoing acquisition. It’s a smart way to tap into different pools of capital, attracting investors who might be looking for income-generating assets with a bitcoin-linked upside, rather than direct bitcoin ownership. It broadens their investor base and provides consistent fuel for their bitcoin buying engine.

The premium that Strategy’s stock often commands is an interesting phenomenon. TD Cowen’s explanation—that every equity sale immediately converts into more BTC per share—makes a lot of sense. It’s a direct link between the company’s stock performance and its underlying bitcoin holdings. This creates a feedback loop where a strong stock price can actually lead to more bitcoin accumulation, which in turn could support the stock price. It’s a virtuous cycle, if it holds.

Looking ahead, Strategy’s projected holdings of over 850,000 BTC by 2027 would make them one of the largest institutional holders of the digital asset. This level of accumulation could have a significant impact on the market, especially given bitcoin’s fixed supply. It’s a strategy that’s hard to ignore, and one that many in the crypto space are watching closely.

The company’s stock performance, up 31% year to date and boasting a $110 billion market cap, reflects this market sentiment. Investors are clearly rewarding Strategy’s bold bitcoin-centric approach. The preferred share offerings are a key part of this strategy, providing a steady, income-focused way for investors to participate in the company’s growth and its bitcoin accumulation journey.

It makes you wonder about the future of corporate bitcoin strategies. Will we see more companies adopt similar methods of raising capital through specialized equity offerings? It’s a question worth pondering as Strategy continues to build its digital gold reserves, one preferred share at a time.

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