China’s Digital Currency Now Dominates $55 Billion Trade Pipeline

A massive, secretive digital money pipeline bypassing the US dollar has processed $55 billion, and 95% of it is China’s digital currency.

A massive, secretive digital money pipeline bypassing the US dollar has processed $55 billion, and 95% of it is China’s digital currency.

Somewhere on a secure server rack that tracks the flow of global money, a specific digital ledger has quietly swelled to a size that is becoming impossible to ignore. It is not running on the usual copper wires that route dollars through New York or London, and it does not rely on the banking relationships that have held the world economy together for decades. This system is called mBridge, and it has just processed over $55 billion in transactions without touching the traditional American banking system. While the world was watching stock markets and interest rates, this alternative pipeline was being laid underground, and now we know exactly who is using it.

  • mBridge processed over $55 billion in transactions.
  • Digital yuan accounts for 95% of mBridge value.
  • BIS left the mBridge project in October 2024.

To understand why this matters, we have to look at how money usually moves across borders. Right now, if you want to send money from a bank in Thailand to a bank in the United Arab Emirates, the money rarely travels in a straight line. It usually has to take a series of connecting flights through major banking hubs, often involving the US dollar as a middleman.

The Problem with Layovers

Think of the current global banking system like booking a flight from a small city in Brazil to a small city in China. You cannot fly direct. You have to fly to a major hub like New York first, switch planes, maybe stop in Tokyo, and then finally land at your destination. In the banking world, these “hubs” are called correspondent banks.

Every time your money stops at a hub, two things happen. First, it takes time. The money sits there while checks are run. Second, it costs money. Everyone along the chain takes a small fee for handling your cash. It is slow, expensive, and a bit of a headache.

Project mBridge is designed to be a direct flight. It uses something called a Central Bank Digital Currency, or CBDC. Unlike Bitcoin, which is like digital gold that no one controls, a CBDC is just a digital version of a country’s national currency, issued directly by the central bank. It is the same as the cash in your wallet, just without the paper.

mBridge connects these central banks directly. It allows the digital currency of one nation to be swapped for the digital currency of another without stopping in New York or London. It is faster, cheaper, and it completely cuts out the middleman.

The 95% Gorilla in the Room

The news this week is that mBridge is growing incredibly fast. It has processed more than 4,000 transactions worth about $55.5 billion. That is a lot of money, but the really interesting part is looking at whose money it is.

According to reports, the digital yuan—China’s version of the dollar—accounts for roughly 95% of all the value moving through this system. This is not a diverse marketplace of nations swapping currencies equally. It is, for all intents and purposes, a Chinese highway.

This dominance suggests that Beijing is successfully building a plumbing system for the global economy that does not rely on the US dollar. For decades, the US dollar has been the world’s reserve currency. It is the water that swims through the pipes of global trade. Because almost all international trade touches the dollar, the United States has a lot of power. If the US government wants to sanction a country, they can effectively turn off the taps.

But if China can build its own pipes—like mBridge—those sanctions might not work as well. The Atlantic Council, a think tank that watches these things closely, noted that while this won’t kill the dollar tomorrow, it could “incrementally erode” its power over time.

The Architect Leaves the Building

There is a twist in this story involving the Bank for International Settlements (BIS). You can think of the BIS as the “central bank for central banks.” It is a very serious, very formal organization based in Switzerland that helps keep the global money system stable. They helped set up mBridge to test if this technology could work.

However, in October 2024, the BIS suddenly left the project. The General Manager, Agustín Carstens, called it a “graduation,” implying the project was ready to stand on its own. But he also made a point to say that mBridge was not created to help countries evade sanctions. He was very clear that this was not a tool for the “BRICS” nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) to hide their money from the West.

It is a bit like a shop teacher helping students build a high-powered rocket, and then quickly retiring the day before they launch it, just in case it lands somewhere it shouldn’t.

The Western Response

The West is not just sitting around watching this happen. The BIS has now shifted its focus to a rival project called “Project Agorá.” This is a similar idea—making cross-border payments faster and cheaper—but it involves seven major Western central banks, including the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan.

We are seeing the start of a format war, much like VHS versus Beta in the 1980s or iPhone versus Android today. On one side, you have mBridge, heavily driven by China. On the other, you have Project Agorá, driven by the traditional Western powers. Both are trying to solve the same problem: moving money around the world is currently too slow and too expensive.

Changing How Money Works at Home

While China is building bridges abroad, they are also changing how the digital yuan works at home. Recently, the People’s Bank of China reported that their digital currency has processed a staggering $2.4 trillion in transactions. That is an 800% increase in just one year.

Even more importantly, they have changed the rules to allow commercial banks to pay interest on digital yuan holdings. This is a technical change with a big impact. Before, holding digital yuan was like holding a gift card or cash under your mattress. It was safe, but it didn’t grow. Now, it is treated more like a savings account.

By paying interest, the government is encouraging people and businesses to keep their money in this digital format rather than converting it back to old-fashioned bank deposits. It is a way of gluing users to the new system.

What This Means for You

You might be wondering why you should care about plumbing systems for international banks. The reason is that these systems decide who controls the flow of value in the world. If the US dollar loses its spot as the only game in town, it becomes harder for the US to borrow money cheaply and harder for it to enforce international rules.

We are moving from a world with one main global currency system to a world with two or three competing ones. It is like going from a town with only one internet provider to a town with two. The service might get better and cheaper for everyone, but the politics of who controls the wires is about to get much more complicated.

  • The Big Number: mBridge has processed $55.5 billion.
  • The Dominant Player: 95% of that volume is Chinese digital yuan.
  • The Rival: The West is building “Project Agorá” to compete.

“Project mBridge is unlikely to challenge dollar dominance directly, but it may incrementally erode it.”

The pipes are being laid, the concrete is being poured, and the traffic is starting to move. The only question left is which road the rest of the world will choose to drive on.

Exit mobile version